Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 80.549492 90.971244 102.724450 117.061637 134.215752 154.256135 179.699408
2025-04-20 67.338904 81.229075 98.391080 121.561951 152.681377 194.031050 254.937618
2025-04-27 61.327197 77.400201 98.572786 129.365679 174.567420 241.259403 353.063852
2025-05-04 54.430121 70.880222 93.547557 128.342308 182.953139 270.443857 433.802667
2025-05-11 49.810305 66.615200 90.687033 129.440720 194.081753 306.014086 538.629313
2025-05-18 45.401213 62.008657 86.544796 127.608585 199.676459 333.141831 638.797635
2025-05-25 42.433643 59.125364 84.528402 128.685508 210.226581 372.080600 783.849776
2025-06-01 39.626764 56.157538 81.961522 128.318279 217.880560 407.321041 940.564099
2025-06-08 36.945932 53.111013 78.892905 126.543347 222.334244 436.915886 1101.530954
2025-06-15 35.707248 52.216614 79.240993 130.957159 240.220333 503.788037 1433.462829
2025-06-22 32.990982 48.691478 74.756519 125.599531 236.044850 514.030158 1574.469643
2025-06-29 31.098945 46.382843 72.168011 123.586597 238.972155 544.517501 1829.455157
2025-07-06 29.312412 44.255478 69.945357 122.529749 245.240858 591.221687 2243.043386
2025-07-13 28.453381 43.656221 70.455431 127.276275 267.213573 698.662014 3201.386727
2025-07-20 28.093423 43.874739 72.477359 135.581798 301.014195 869.489774 5156.101227
2025-07-27 26.661484 42.063807 70.431033 134.492029 308.844210 949.931006 6744.751181
2025-08-03 25.611583 40.857671 69.435390 135.661712 323.698134 1071.963139 9605.135847
2025-08-10 24.336721 39.143829 67.264398 133.710818 328.580241 1154.001306 12680.002969
2025-08-17 23.471759 38.129300 66.412286 134.857474 343.869115 1303.436790 19235.453304
2025-08-24 22.534047 36.911617 65.028291 134.466444 354.054735 1437.550253 28683.724884
2025-08-31 21.538784 35.520233 63.162200 132.576809 358.586407 1545.091157 41410.791884
2025-09-07 21.163972 35.297749 63.757279 137.276899 389.017371 1866.268061 95139.448353
2025-09-14 19.988730 33.442216 60.670633 131.572232 377.864100 1871.397175 119681.834052